Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.393139 0.508229 0.633202 0.777161 0.936761 1.106833 1.300392
2025-07-27 0.259759 0.418243 0.607731 0.842256 1.117443 1.424139 1.786370
2025-08-03 0.189858 0.366195 0.592912 0.887197 1.244543 1.652962 2.144923
2025-08-10 0.126903 0.305404 0.554446 0.893585 1.318828 1.815869 2.424766
2025-08-17 0.067556 0.228651 0.480036 0.842635 1.313789 1.877683 2.580452
2025-08-24 0.028177 0.163500 0.408237 0.784598 1.291768 1.912853 2.699433
2025-08-31 0.010426 0.125752 0.369001 0.764434 1.313023 1.996667 2.872816
2025-09-07 0.003157 0.104453 0.351921 0.772559 1.368996 2.121733 3.094573
2025-09-14 0.000070 0.081698 0.326659 0.765153 1.401885 2.216283 3.278020
2025-09-21 NaN 0.059601 0.296090 0.745819 1.415992 2.285287 3.428807
2025-09-28 NaN 0.056388 0.305155 0.788929 1.516414 2.464601 3.715688
2025-10-05 NaN 0.055971 0.320423 0.842090 1.631017 2.662344 4.025667
2025-10-12 NaN 0.051820 0.327420 0.884405 1.734696 2.851679 4.332724
2025-10-19 NaN 0.054385 0.352098 0.957291 1.883229 3.100976 4.716773
2025-10-26 NaN 0.051533 0.361752 1.004416 1.994693 3.301799 5.040066
2025-11-02 NaN 0.041290 0.348521 1.011488 2.048253 3.426952 5.268823
2025-11-09 NaN 0.023228 0.302201 0.956978 2.010324 3.430636 5.344062
2025-11-16 NaN 0.009824 0.255076 0.894858 1.957479 3.412018 5.389076
2025-11-23 NaN 0.004372 0.231441 0.873231 1.962755 3.469035 5.528299
2025-11-30 NaN 0.002327 0.223801 0.881947 2.013583 3.586991 5.745060
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000575 0.208723 0.874004 2.038006 3.668768 5.915215
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.188655 0.853255 2.041319 3.721094 6.047012
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.199377 0.899497 2.150196 3.918020 6.365460